BET log5 Prediction

Here's the log5 analysis of the BET tourney, using the updated KenPom.com ratings:

Seed  Team     2nd Rnd   Quarters   Semis   Finals    Champ
9     Cinci     85.45%    40.54%    5.11%    1.11%    0.13%
16    DePaul    14.55%     1.94%    0.05%    0.00%    0.00%
8     Provy       -       57.52%    7.93%    1.86%    0.24%
1     L'ville     -         -      86.91%   56.92%   26.71%

12    G'town    84.68%    41.91%   17.93%    6.53%    1.86%
13    St.J's    15.32%     2.31%    0.28%    0.03%    0.00%
5     Marq        -       55.79%   24.15%    8.90%    2.58%
4     Nova        -         -      57.64%   24.64%    8.54%

10    N.Dame    85.68%    23.23%    4.57%    1.11%    0.34%
15    Rutgers   14.32%     0.84%    0.03%    0.00%    0.00%
7     WVU         -       75.93%   30.15%   13.59%    7.27%
2     Pitt        -         -      65.24%   35.93%   22.72%

11    SHU       71.18%    14.53%    1.49%    0.19%    0.03%
14    USF       28.82%     2.71%    0.12%    0.01%    0.00%
6     Cuse        -       82.76%   25.47%    9.08%    5.05%
3     UConn       -         -      72.92%   40.10%   25.53%

Editor's note: These percentages are the probability a team will make it to that round, based on KenPom ratings.

Make of these what you will. As I said last year, efficiency ratings are not destiny.

If you want a sign of optimism, out of all the teams playing on Tuesday, the Hoyas have by far the best chance of making a deep run.