Friday, March 13, 2009

BET log5 predictions, after quarterfinals

From Tom, via HoyaTalk.

Here's the updated log5 analysis of the BET tourney, using the updated KenPom.com ratings, after the 3rd round.

Lots of movement yesterday, as Louisville and West Virginia were the big winners in terms of best odds of winning the championship.

However, Tom's predictions for yesterday didn't include that Cuse/UConn would play a 6-OT game, so I'm not sure if we can trust anything else he says.


Seed  Team     2nd Rnd   Quarters   Semis   Finals    Champ
9 Cinci out out out out out
16 DePaul 100.0% out out out out
8 Provy - 100.0% out out out
1 L'ville - - 100.0% 63.77% 35.35%

12 G'town out out out out out
13 St.J's 100.0% out out out out
5 Marq - 100.0% out out out
4 Nova - - 100.0% 36.23% 15.06%

10 N.Dame 100.0% out out out out
15 Rutgers out out out out out
7 WVU - 100.0% 100.0% 60.28% 32.34%
2 Pitt - - out out out

11 SHU 100.0% out out out out
14 USF out out out out out
6 Cuse - 100.0% 100.0% 39.72% 17.26%
3 UConn - - out out out
Editor's note: These percentages are the probability a team will make it to that round, based on KenPom ratings.

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