BET log5 predictions, after Round 2

From Tom, via HoyaTalk:

Here's the updated log5 analysis of the BET tourney, using the updated KenPom.com ratings, after the 2nd round.

The seeds holding on Day 2 worsened the odds for all the double-bye teams, but not by that much. Biggest beneficiary so far is Marquette, whose odds have increased about 4%.

Seed  Team     2nd Rnd   Quarters   Semis   Finals    Champ
9     Cinci      out       out       out      out      out
16    DePaul    100.0%     out       out      out      out
8     Provy       -       100.0%   13.47%    2.86%    0.36%
1     L'ville     -         -      86.53%   54.86%   25.79%

12    G'town     out       out      out       out      out
13    St.J's    100.0%     out      out       out      out
5     Marq        -       100.0%   48.04%   19.88%    6.60%
4     Nova        -         -      51.96%   22.40%    7.82%

10    N.Dame    100.0%      out      out      out      out
15    Rutgers    out        out      out      out      out
7     WVU         -       100.0%   40.32%   18.62%   10.04%
2     Pitt        -         -      59.68%   33.21%   20.97%

11    SHU       100.0%      out      out      out      out
14    USF        out        out      out      out      out
6     Cuse        -       100.0%   31.66%   11.22%    6.13%
3     UConn       -         -      68.34%   36.95%   23.38%

Editor's note: These percentages are the probability a team will make it to that round, based on KenPom ratings.