Check this thread on HoyaTalk for post-game article links (thanks, as always, to the inimitable Dan McQ).
Looking at the official box score, Pitt had a remarkable 58-38 FGA advantage. How did it happen? Offensive rebounding (22-8).
Using Pomeroy's method for calculating possessions:
Pitt = 58 FGA - 22 OR + 13 TO + 16 FTA * 0.475 = 60 possessions
GU = 38 FGA - 8 OR + 14 TO + 29 FTA * 0.475 = 58 possessions
So the game had ~59 possessions , right in line with G'town's average pace of 59.2 coming into the game.
Georgetown's Off. Eff. was ~104, about 16% better than Pitt allows on average (and about 18% worse than G'town averages). The Hoyas' Def. Eff. was ~90, about what where they've performed this season [91], but 24% below Pitt's offensive season average.
Georgetown was able to win by getting to the line (29-16 advantage, or a 76.3 - 27.6 FT Rate advantage, if you're so inclined) and by shooting a higher percentage (51.3 - 38.8 eFG%).
Watching the game, it seemed that the majority of the GU turnovers occurred in the first 10 minutes of the game, while Pitt made several turnovers late that cost them the game. So I'd suggest that the nearly even TO stat in the box score is a bit misleading.
No comments:
Post a Comment