Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Analysis: BET #1 Seed, Revisited

With one game to go for all 16 Big East teams, some of the BET seeding is clear, some is not. Best resources are MountaineerStats.com's Do-It-Yourself Prognosticator and this thread on Hoyatalk.

One point I want to address explicitly is that Georgetown controls its seeding fate Saturday against UConn.

If Georgetown and Pitt (@ Marquette) both win their last game, G'town is the #1 seed.
  • A Louisville win (@ SHU) would clinch for G'town (GU: 1-0, Pitt 0-1 vs. L'ville).
  • A L'ville loss and a Syracuse win (@ Villanova) would cancel the above advantage (GU 0-1, Pitt 1-0 vs. 'Cuse). Due to the uneven schedule and wins against most other teams, the eventual tie breaker, after progressing through all other teams one time, would be Notre Dame, which G'town beat and Pitt didn't play. G'town would receive the tiebreaker and #1 seed; yes, this doesn't seem fair, but it's how the tie-breaking formula is written.
  • A Syracuse loss would also clinch for G'town.

If Pitt and Georgetown both lose this weekend, G'town would receive the #1 seed.
  • A Louisville win would give a 3-way tie for first. G'town would win the mini-conference (GU 2-1; L'ville 1-1; Pitt 1-2), then Louisville at #2 and Pitt at #3.
  • A Louisville loss would result in tie-breaking scenarios as covered above, so G'town would be seeded #1, Pitt #2.

If Georgetown wins and Pitt loses, Georgetown is the #1 seed. Louisville would be #2 with a win, Pitt would stay #2 if Louisville loses.


If Pitt wins and Georgetown loses, Pitt is the #1 seed, Georgetown #2 (G'town holds a head-to-head tiebreaker with Louisville).

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