Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Analysis: Georgetown 55, Louisville 52

I apologize for the tardiness of this post, but my real-life responsibilities are now greatly outweighing my blogging duties (more on that later).

Georgetown and Louisville staged a classic game at the Verizon Center on Saturday, with the good guys pulling it out at the end, thanks to timely shots by Jonathan Wallace and DaJuan Summers. The senior class was able to go out on Senior Day with their 2nd consecutive regular season BE title, the first time this has been done by the Hoyas.

Let's run the numbers:

                        Offense                            Defense
1st Half 2nd Half Total 1st Half 2nd Half Total
Pace 31 27 58

Eff. 76.8 115.7 94.7 60.8 123.1 89.6

eFG% 45.8 72.5 58.0 38.6 52.1 45.7
TO% 28.8 29.9 29.3 32.0 7.5 20.7
OR% 20.0 37.5 26.1 18.8 28.6 23.3
FTA/FGA 8.3 15.0 11.4 27.3 50.0 39.1
FTM/FGA 8.3 10.0 9.1 9.1 33.3 21.7

Assist Rate 88.9 38.5 59.1 50.0 72.7 63.2
Block Rate 6.7 12.5 9.7 28.6 21.4 25.0
Steal Rate 22.4 26.1 24.1 12.8 7.5 10.3

2FG% 33.3 62.5 48.4 50.0 57.1 53.6
3FG% 44.4 75.0 53.8 12.5 30.0 22.2
FT% 100.0 66.7 80.0 33.3 66.7 55.6


LOUISVILLE vs Georgetown
03/08/08 12:00 at Verizon Center
Final score: Georgetown 55, LOUISVILLE 52

LOUISVILLE Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF
WILLIAMS, Terrence 38:42 - 3 14/52 4 -7 2 -5 0 -1 12/46 3 /13 0 /57 2 /57 0 /30 1 /30 4 /21 0
PADGETT, David 27:14 + 1 12/38 5 -7 0 -0 2 -2 7 /33 0 /9 1 /37 2 /40 0 /22 0 /21 0 /17 2
CLARK, Earl 31:10 - 1 11/44 3 -5 0 -1 5 -9 6 /36 0 /13 3 /44 4 /45 2 /24 2 /23 8 /18 0
MCGEE, Andre 24:33 - 3 3 /34 0 -0 1 -1 0 -0 1 /25 3 /10 3 /36 1 /34 0 /22 0 /16 1 /16 0
SMITH, Jerry 29:01 - 12 1 /37 0 -1 0 -6 1 -2 7 /35 1 /14 5 /43 0 /43 0 /23 2 /24 2 /16 2
KNOWLES, Preston 09:13 + 8 3 /12 0 -1 1 -2 0 -0 3 /9 2 /3 0 /13 0 /13 0 /6 0 /5 0 /7 2
PALACIOS, Juan 09:44 + 0 2 /10 1 -1 0 -0 0 -0 1 /11 0 /2 0 /15 0 /14 0 /7 1 /8 0 /5 0
SOSA, Edgar 18:31 + 1 0 /21 0 -1 0 -3 0 -0 4 /23 3 /9 0 /25 1 /27 0 /12 0 /15 1 /9 3
CARACTER, Derrick 10:18 + 2 6 /12 2 -5 0 -0 2 -4 5 /12 0 /3 2 /17 2 /16 1 /8 0 /8 1 /6 2
FARLEY, Terrance 01:34 - 8 0 /0 0 -0 0 -0 0 -0 0 /0 0 /0 0 /3 0 /1 0 /1 0 /0 0 /0 0
TOTALS 40:00 52 15-28 4 -18 10-18 46 12/19 14/58 12/58 3 /31 7 /30 17/23 11
0.536 0.222 0.556 0.632 0.241 0.207 0.097 0.233 0.739

Georgetown Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF
Wallace, Jonathan 37:49 + 8 9 /55 2 -5 1 -2 2 -2 7 /44 2 /19 2 /55 1 /54 0 /26 2 /23 1 /29 0
Summers, DaJuan 28:36 + 4 8 /37 1 -2 2 -4 0 -0 6 /32 1 /12 0 /40 1 /40 1 /18 0 /18 4 /22 3
Freeman, Austin 28:08 + 8 15/49 3 -5 3 -4 0 -0 9 /33 0 /13 1 /42 5 /44 0 /24 0 /15 1 /24 3
Sapp, Jessie 29:48 + 10 6 /51 3 -5 0 -0 0 -0 5 /34 5 /17 1 /42 0 /45 0 /23 1 /14 6 /23 3
Hibbert, Roy 36:17 + 5 12/55 6 -12 0 -0 0 -0 12/42 3 /16 0 /52 2 /53 4 /25 1 /20 5 /24 3
Macklin, Vernon 01:57 + 0 0 /0 0 -1 0 -0 0 -0 1 /2 0 /0 0 /2 1 /3 0 /1 0 /2 1 /1 1
Rivers, Jeremiah 12:23 - 12 0 /4 0 -1 0 -0 0 -1 1 /10 0 /2 0 /19 1 /17 0 /7 0 /9 1 /8 1
Crawford, Tyler 00:11 + 0 0 /0 0 -0 0 -0 0 -0 0 /0 0 /0 0 /1 0 /0 0 /0 0 /0 1 /1 0
Ewing, Patrick 24:51 - 8 5 /24 0 -0 1 -3 2 -2 3 /23 2 /9 2 /37 6 /34 2 /16 1 /14 2 /18 1
TOTALS 40:00 55 15-31 7 -13 4 -5 44 13/22 6 /58 17/58 7 /28 6 /23 23/30 15
0.484 0.538 0.800 0.591 0.103 0.293 0.250 0.261 0.767

Efficiency: Georgetown 0.948, LOUISVILLE 0.897
eFG%: Georgetown 0.580, LOUISVILLE 0.457
Substitutions: Georgetown 29, LOUISVILLE 32

2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: Georgetown 1-1, LOUISVILLE 2-2
Layups/Tips: Georgetown 10-18, LOUISVILLE 8-13
Jumpers: Georgetown 4-12, LOUISVILLE 5-13

Comments:

  • This was most certainly a different game in each half, with a classic Big East defensive battle early on, followed by an offensive showcase in the Vesper half.
  • Louisville could only muster 0.61 points per possession in the 1st half - that was the 2nd best defensive half that Georgetown has played all season (2nd half vs. Fairfield, Def. Eff. = 59.3). Louisville is currently ranked 34th in Adj. Off. Eff. by Pomeroy (114.1), so this was truly an amazing effort.
  • Why did Louisville struggle in the 1st half? Turnovers, poor outside shooting, and missed FTs. Georgetown's steal rate in the 1st half (12.8%) was not exceptionally high, indicating a large number of self-inflicted TOs by the Cardinals.
  • Meanwhile, the Hoyas struggled to score themselves in the 1st half. A woeful 2FG% (5-15), which drove down eFG% is more likely to blame than any other factor - G'town's TO Rate, lousy as it often is, didn't improve in the 2nd half but Off. Eff. did. The Cardinals were credited with only 1 block in the 1st half, so the Hoyas can't lay the blame for the poor interior shooting entirely on the Louisville's interior defense.
  • In the 2nd half, Louisville simply took care of the basketball, and the extra possessions that ended in a scoring attempt allowed the Cardinals to become a much more efficient team. Shooting improved to expected levels across the board.
  • Georgetown was able to (mostly) match Louisville with a greatly improved offense of their own - inside shooting went from very bad to very good (2FG: 10-16). A shooting performance like this can lead to some misleading stats; the Hoyas had a OR% of 37.5%, but this came from only 3 off. rebounds (on 8 total missed shots).
  • In the end, it came down to execution in the last 2 minutes, and as SFHoya99 pointed out in a spectacular post on Hoyatalk, the JTIII-led Hoyas seems to have an unusual amount of luck in 1-possession games.

Comments from my reader:
I hope you got a chance to watch the game yesterday [Ed. note: Nope, just watched the end of the game on tape, err disk, after the fact]. Wasn't always pretty, but the result was the right one, at least from our perspective. First half-defense ruled the roost, particularly turnovers. UL stopped turning the ball over in the second half and Georgetown didn't, but thankfully the Hoyas shot the lights out and Louisville missed 3's like they had all game.

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