Monday, January 17, 2011

BE Game of the Day: UConn 61, Villanova 59

In a truly shocking development, I actually got to sit down and watch a couple of non-Georgetown Big East games today.

Image lifted from here
The undercard:  Villanova at UConn

Vegas had the Huskies as 2-point favorites for the game, and that's just how it turned out.  Ken Pomeroy only had UConn as at -1, but we'll cut Ken some slack tonight since his computer didn't know that Dominick Cheek would have to sit this one out.

I'm not going to spend too much time discussing the basics stats for the game, as VBTN will undoubtedly turn out a massively in-depth recap soon.

I decided to run through the numbers of this game for a couple of reasons - besides the marquee match-up, this was UConn's third try at beating an upper-echelon Big East team (after losses at Pitt and Notre Dame) and I still wasn't convinced they were legit, even after the win at Texas.

Meanwhile, Villanova had lost Cheek in the Maryland game.  He was someone I thought could switch out on Kemba Walker to slow down his outside shot, but would also give Jeremy Lamb fits - I do think it's fair to discount the result tonight a bit, presuming Cheek returns soon.  And I wanted to watch Corey Stokes play, as he's having an amazing senior season (much like Austin Freeman last year, before the diabetes kicked in).


By my estimate, the pivotal sequence in the game started after the under-8:00 timeout in the second half with Maalik Wayns heading to the line to shoot free throws with the Wildcats up four points, 45-41.

He missed the second, and what followed was a terrible stretch for Villanova, as they committed three turnovers and attempted an end-of-the-shot-clock 3FG (to go along with a made dunk) over their next five possessions.  Meanwhile, UConn got in the paint every time down the court, with Alex Oriakhi making a couple of close-in shots, Walker hitting 3/4 FTs and Lamb adding a couple of layups.

Now, at the under-4:00 timeout, UConn lead 52-48 and never trailed the rest of the way.


In the end, it was Jeremy Lamb who was the revelation today, rather than Stokes.  Sure the headlines will be about Walker, who really didn't have a Kemba-Walker-like game until the last few seconds, and Corey Fisher, who had a tremendous game.  But Stokes didn't show up tonight - in fact, by my math only Roscoe Smith was a bigger negative in the game - while Jeremy Lamb did.  Which again make me wonder what would have happened if Cheek could have played.

Full stats package after the jump, for the curious.

TEMPO-FREE BOX SCORE
 
.            Visitor                         Home      
.            Villanova                       UConn        
.            1st Half  2nd Half   Total      1st Half  2nd Half   Total
Pace            29        34        64

Effic.         74.9     108.2      92.9        71.5     117.0      96.0  
 
eFG%           27.3      53.7      39.2        29.3      51.9      40.2  
TO%            10.2      14.6      12.6        23.8      11.7      17.3  
OR%            37.0      15.4      30.0        36.4      35.3      35.9  
FTA/FGA        21.2      33.3      26.7        13.8      66.7      39.3  
 
Assist Rate    25.0      42.9      36.4        57.1      53.8      55.0  
Block Rate     16.7       0.0       7.5         7.7       0.0       4.3  
Steal Rate     10.2       2.9       6.3         0.0       8.8       4.7  
 
2FG%           23.1      65.0      41.3        22.2      50.0      37.5  
3FG%           28.6      14.3      21.4        27.3      40.0      31.2  
FT%            57.1      88.9      75.0       100.0      66.7      72.7


INDIVIDUAL NET POINTS STATS

Villanova             Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
Pena, Antonio          60    9.8   98.5    5.8      60    88.1   10.6      -2.1  
Yarou, Mouphtaou       38   25.3   96.8    9.3      40    96.2    7.7      +0.8  
Wayns, Maalik          44   29.4   70.1    9.1      41   110.3    9.0      -2.6  
Fisher, Corey          56   34.2  124.7   23.9      55    99.1   10.9      +8.9  
Stokes, Corey          60    9.8   43.7    2.6      63    88.2   11.1      -5.6  
Sutton, Maurice        19   17.5   54.8    1.8      19    56.1    2.1      -0.2  
Bell, James            19    1.7  185.7    0.6      18    55.6    2.0      -0.5  
Armwood, Isaiah        19   26.9   43.7    2.2      24    70.9    3.4      -1.3  
TOTALS                 63          88.9   55.3      64    88.9   56.9      -0.8  

UConn                 Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
LAMB, Jeremy           52   19.1  113.0   11.2      51    79.9    8.2      +3.2  
OLANDER, Tyler         12    8.3    0.0    0.0      10    70.0    1.4      -1.0  
SMITH, Roscoe          49    9.8   33.4    1.6      49   100.6    9.9      -5.7  
ORIAKHI, Alex          57   23.1  112.3   14.8      57    91.9   10.5      +3.5  
WALKER, Kemba          63   35.2   99.1   22.0      61    94.4   11.5      +5.8  
BEVERLY, Donnell        7   14.3    0.0    0.0       7    28.6    0.4      -0.3  
COOMBS-MCDANIEL, J     21   13.6   60.8    1.7      20    88.3    3.5      -1.3  
GIFFEY, Niels           3    0.0    -      0.0       2   160.0    0.6      -0.6  
NAPIER, Shabazz        31    6.6  103.9    2.1      31    94.8    5.9      -1.8  
OKWANDU, Charles       25   24.1   88.4    5.3      27    85.6    4.6      +0.4  
TOTALS                 64          93.3   58.8      63    89.6   56.5      +2.3


HD BOX SCORE

Villanova vs UConn
1-17-11 3:30 p.m. at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion  Storrs, Conn.
Final score: UConn 61, Villanova 59

Villanova               Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
Pena, Antonio          38:14  + 2   8/59  4- 8  0- 0  0- 0  8/58  0/18  1/60  0/60  0/38  1/38  4/35   2
Yarou, Mouphtaou       23:55  - 9   8/33  3- 8  0- 0  2- 2  8/39  0/ 9  0/40  1/38  0/26  4/27  6/23   3
Wayns, Maalik          24:59  - 1   9/43  4- 6  0- 4  1- 2 10/40  2/12  0/41  4/44  0/31  1/26  1/28   3
Fisher, Corey          35:52  + 1  28/56  7-15  3- 7  5- 6 22/56  6/11  0/55  0/56  0/33  0/36  3/33   1
Stokes, Corey          38:06  - 8   3/53  0- 3  0- 3  3- 3  6/56  0/20  1/63  1/60  0/40  0/38  2/39   2
Sutton, Maurice        12:05  + 7   1/22  0- 2  0- 0  1- 2  2/17  0/ 8  1/19  1/19  3/10  1/11  2/13   3
Bell, James            12:35  + 2   0/13  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/17  0/ 5  0/18  0/19  0/ 6  1/13  2/ 9   2
Armwood, Isaiah        14:14  - 4   2/16  1- 4  0- 0  0- 1  4/17  0/ 5  1/24  1/19  0/16  1/11  2/15   2
TOTALS                 40:00       59    19-46  3-14 12-16    60  8/22  4/64  8/63  3/40 12/40 25/39  18
.                                        0.413 0.214 0.750       0.364 0.062 0.127 0.075 0.300 0.641    

UConn                   Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
LAMB, Jeremy           31:44  + 5  14/55  4- 7  2- 5  0- 0 12/44  2/11  2/51  1/52  0/40  2/30  6/32   1
OLANDER, Tyler         08:02  + 4   0/ 9  0- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/14  0/ 3  0/10  0/12  0/ 7  0/11  0/10   1
SMITH, Roscoe          30:39  + 7   2/55  1- 2  0- 2  0- 0  4/45  0/18  0/49  1/49  2/35  0/28  3/29   3
ORIAKHI, Alex          35:54  + 0  14/57  5- 9  0- 0  4- 6  9/49  1/14  0/57  3/57  0/43  4/33  8/34   1
WALKER, Kemba          39:24  + 3  24/61  3-12  3- 6  9-12 18/56  5/14  0/61  3/63  0/45  2/39  4/38   2
BEVERLY, Donnell       04:17  + 1   0/ 2  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 4  0/ 1  0/ 7  1/ 7  0/ 4  0/ 3  0/ 7   0
COOMBS-MCDANIEL, J     14:24  - 5   2/12  1- 3  0- 2  0- 0  5/19  1/ 3  0/20  0/21  0/16  0/15  1/15   0
GIFFEY, Niels          01:58  - 3   0/ 0  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 2  0/ 0  0/ 2  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 2  0/ 2   1
NAPIER, Shabazz        19:20  + 2   2/34  0- 1  0- 1  2- 2  2/24  1/11  1/31  0/31  0/17  0/15  0/14   3
OKWANDU, Charles       14:18  - 4   3/20  1- 4  0- 0  1- 2  4/23  1/ 5  0/27  1/25  0/21  4/19  3/19   4
TOTALS                 40:00       61    15-40  5-16 16-22    56 11/20  3/63 11/64  2/46 14/39 28/40  16
.                                        0.375 0.312 0.727       0.550 0.048 0.172 0.043 0.359 0.700    



Efficiency: UConn 0.953, Villanova 0.937
eFG%: UConn 0.402, Villanova 0.392
Substitutions: UConn 28, Villanova 34

2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: UConn 1-3, Villanova 2-2
Layups/Tips: UConn 7-14, Villanova 4-10
Jumpers: UConn 7-23, Villanova 13-34

Fast break pts (% FG pts): UConn 14 (31.1), Villanova 4 (8.5)
Pts (eff.) after steal: UConn 4 (133.3), Villanova 2 (50.0)
Seconds per poss: UConn 17.2, Villanova 20.6


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