West Virginia is the big beneficiary of the action thus far, namely Cincinnati's upset of Louisville. Since the initial log5 prediction (the "Orig" column), their odds of a title have gone up nearly 3%, even more than the Hoyas', despite not playing.
Seed Team 2nd Rnd Quarters Semis Finals Champ Orig 9 USF 100 out out out out 0.1 16 DePaul out out out out out 0.0003 8 G'town - 100 36.8 19.2 9.5 6.8 1 Cuse - - 63.2 41.2 25.6 28.9 12 UConn out out out out out 0.8 13 St.J's 100 out out out out 0.06 5 Marq - 100 45.2 16.8 7.6 5.2 4 Nova - - 54.8 22.9 11.4 12.8 10 SHU 100 out out out out 0.6 15 Provy out out out out out 0.06 7 N.Dame - 100 41.1 13.3 4.0 2.2 2 Pitt - - 58.9 23.5 9.0 9.8 11 Cinci 100 100 15.6 4.7 0.9 0.2 14 Rutgers out out out out out 0.0009 6 L'ville - out out out out 3.5 3 WVU - - 84.4 58.6 32.0 29.1Editor's note: These are the percentage probabilities a team will make it to that round, based on KenPom ratings.
"100" means that team did advance to the round, a "-" means the team had a bye to that round.
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