Saturday, January 2, 2010

Shot selelction and lineup efficiencies update

Just a quick note this morning to update a couple of stats that I track neurotically:

Shot Selection by Player
Player               Dunks   Layups   2pt J's   3FGA      FTA
Wright, Chris        0 /0     37/56    7 /17    12/32    29/34
                              0.661    0.412    0.375    0.853

Freeman, Austin      3 /4     25/42    10/25    10/31    22/24
                              0.595    0.400    0.323    0.917

Monroe, Greg         4 /5     38/64    10/39    3 /12    31/50
                              0.594    0.256    0.250    0.620

Vaughn, Julian       7 /7     25/40    5 /15    2 /4     10/23
                              0.625    0.333    0.500    0.435

Clark, Jason         5 /5     9 /17    4 /5     20/50    13/17
                              0.529    0.800    0.400    0.765

Thompson, Hollis     0 /0     6 /9     2 /8     6 /14    6 /10
                              0.667    0.250    0.429    0.600

Sims, Henry          3 /3     4 /5     3 /6     0 /2     11/15
                              0.800    0.500    0.000    0.733

Sanford, Vee         0 /0     1 /3     1 /2     1 /5     5 /6
                              0.333    0.500    0.200    0.833

Benimon, Jerrelle    0 /0     2 /3     0 /0     0 /0     0 /0
                              0.667     -        -        -

* Game against Butler missing (no play-by-play available)

Chris Wright is making a nice percentage of shots in all ranges, and has a very good distribution as well - if he could cut his turnover rate down a bit, I'd say he'd be playing as well as one could hope.

Austin Freeman is the best FT shooter on the team, but has only shot 24 so far this year.  I'd love to see him trade a few of those mid-range jumpers for aggressive drives to the hoop.  His outside shot is also down a bit, but if he makes his next 3FG, he'll be back to shooting ~35%.

I've seen quite a few criticisms on HoyaTalk of Greg Monroe's ability to hit his layups, but the stats show he's making a fairly typical amount (Roy Hibbert shot 60% on layups his senior year).  What Monroe is struggling with is 2-pt jumpers, and here the official scorer is correctly noting that quite a few of his "layup" attempts are just a bit too far outside to be considered a layup.  Those are the shots he has trouble with.  I think that this is simply a maturation process - after a few more years of repetition in practice, those shots will drop but they're not very good ones for him to take right now.

Julian Vaughn is now shooting 43% on FTs, and this is big improvement since the last time we looked.  That is, he's made 9/13 FTA since starting 1/10.  He's also leading the team in dunks.  I would criticize his 15 2-pt jumper attempts, but that stop-and-pop off the glass against St. John's was so pretty that I'll let it slide.

Jason Clark is also struggling lately with his outside shot, in a relative sense (6/19 3FGA since last time we checked).  His shot selection is about ideal for his skill set.

Hollis Thompson is settling for far too many 2-pt jumpers.  I wonder if this is a strength-issue, where he isn't confident that he'll get off a shot on a drive.

Henry Sims hasn't shot the ball much - or played as much as I expected.  He looks to have a nice touch at the FT line, so I wonder if he could be a bit more aggressive when he catches the ball.  Of course, that first part is the trick, as his TO rate (38% right now) is killing him.



And here are the lineup efficiencies so far this year.  I'm only posting those lineups that have at least 10 offensive and defensive possessions together. Also note that these aren't adjusted for competition:

.                                                  Offense                     Defense
Lineup                                      # Poss   Eff.  Secs/poss    # Poss   Eff.  Secs/poss
Clark--Freeman--Monroe--Vaughn--Wright        207   103.4    16.6         209    78.5    19.3
Clark--Freeman--Monroe--Thompson--Wright       87    98.9    16.0          83   100.0    16.6
Clark--Freeman--Monroe--Sims--Wright           49   130.6    16.2          48    75.0    18.8
Clark--Monroe--Sims--Thompson--Wright          25    92.0    18.8          24   100.0    15.9
Freeman--Monroe--Sims--Thompson--Wright        20    140     15.2          22    95.5    22.2
Freeman--Monroe--Thompson--Vaughn--Wright      17   117.6    18.3          19    94.7    18.1
Clark--Freeman--Monroe--Thompson--Vaughn       16    75.0    15.6          13    53.8    22.5
Clark--Monroe--Thompson--Vaughn--Wright        14   107.1    18.6          16   118.8    18.4
Benimon--Freeman--Monroe--Thompson--Wright     14   107.1    15.7          14   135.7    11.5
Clark--Freeman--Thompson--Vaughn--Wright       12   158.3    10.0          15    46.7    18.1
Clark--Freeman--Sims--Thompson--Vaughn         12   116.7    15.5          10    80.0    20.2

* Games against Butler and Savannah St. missing (no substitution data or play-by-play available)


The perils of playing a freshman (H. Thompson) are that this tends to lead to worse defense.  And for all the Henry Sims detractors, the primary lineup with him (in for Vaughn) is the best lineup for the Hoyas so far this year.

Again, keep in mind small sample size effects and no correction for competition.  See the original post on lineups for more details.

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I'm working on a new format for individual net points charts that I posted last year.  Hope to have this year's charts running by the end of the weekend.  I prefer net points to +/- when looking for a single number to describe how a player performed, but admittedly neither really tells you a lot by itself.

1 comment:

  1. Monroe and Sims on the floor together works.

    This should be run at least 20% of the time.

    It's a different look that will cause issues for many teams.

    ReplyDelete