One thing I've just added is a possession tracker that compiles performance by lineup. This is simply the team's offensive and defensive efficiency when any particular set of 5 players is on the court.
For instance, here are all lineups that had at least 15 offensive and defensive possessions last season, looking at all available games from the conference opener at UConn forward. The compiler ignores all possessions when the game is statistically over (at nominally 69% [1σ] confidence), to avoid garbage time stats.
. Offensive Defensive Lineup # Poss. Rating Secs/poss # Poss. Rating Secs/poss Freeman-Monroe-Sapp-Summers-Wright 294 108 18.2 280 104 17.8 Freeman-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Summers-Wright 109 102 19.3 101 107 19.0 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Summers-Wright 74 99 19.6 76 136 18.7 Clark-Monroe-Sapp-Summers-Wright 42 102 15.8 40 92 17.7 Clark-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Summers-Wright 36 106 18.7 35 100 16.0 Freeman-Sapp-Summers-Vaughn-Wright 31 61 23.5 34 112 17.5 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Summers-Wattad 30 123 14.5 30 107 20.6 Freeman-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Sapp-Wright 30 97 18.3 32 112 20.4 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Sims-Wright 29 138 18.7 33 45 19.6 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Sapp-Summers 25 108 18.5 24 133 16.3 Clark-Freeman-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Wright 24 92 19.2 21 100 19.2 Mescheriakov-Monroe-Sapp-Summers-Wright 20 135 20.2 20 90 17.1 Monroe-Sapp-Summers-Wattad-Wright 19 95 19.4 19 74 16.5 Clark-Freeman-Sapp-Summers-Vaughn 16 75 25.0 16 162 17.9 Freeman-Monroe-Sapp-Sims-Wright 15 147 18.2 15 73 18.5 Freeman-Monroe-Sims-Summers-Wright 15 127 14.9 15 73 16.3 Clark-Freeman-Summers-Vaughn-Wright 15 53 19.4 18 167 18.7
Right now I'm just tracking offensive and defensive efficiencies and average time of possession.
As you can see, this might not be the most informative exercise for the Hoyas, as Coach Thompson likes to run a short bench, so only three lineups had more than 50 possessions together at either end.
Looking at those three lineups, when either Mescheriakov or Clark substituted for Jessie Sapp last year, both the offense and defense took a substantial hit. The defense with Clark, Freeman and Wright at the guards, Monroe at center and Summers at forward was especially generous.
How about this season, albeit against lesser competition (no lineup data for the Savannah St. game)?
. Offensive Defensive Lineup # Poss. Rating Secs/poss # Poss. Rating Secs/poss Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Vaughn-Wright 82 109 15.1 83 63 19.8 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Sims-Wright 32 113 15.0 32 72 16.9 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Thompson-Wright 27 115 18.4 26 112 17.7 Clark-Freeman-Sims-Thompson-Vaughn 12 117 15.5 10 80 20.2 Clark-Monroe-Sims-Thompson-Wright 11 136 25.5 12 108 14.8 Freeman-Monroe-Sims-Thompson-Wright 11 136 14.3 13 92 21.0 Freeman-Monroe-Thompson-Vaughn-Wright 7 86 19.7 7 29 20.0 Clark-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Thompson-Wright 6 133 19.7 4 175 20.2 Freeman-Mescheriakov-Monroe-Thompson-Wright 6 133 15.5 7 71 26.9 Freeman-Sims-Thompson-Vaughn-Wright 6 100 21.8 5 120 13.4 Clark-Freeman-Monroe-Sanford-Thompson 6 50 16.5 6 83 11.8
This year's table now updated through the Mount St. Mary's game.
Note that the top 2 lineups are 3-4 seconds quicker per offensive possession than the top 2 last season. A faster pace than last year, or just feasting on a steady diet of cupcakes?
Someone prod me in a few weeks and I'll update this year's lineup table.
The lineup with Sapp did the best. Of course, he lost his spot as the team fell apart.
ReplyDeleteSo my question would be: if we excluded the early games -- maybe just used BE play or post-Duke game or whatever, how does the above change?
Given the early lineup data, and granted this is small sample size, etc.:
ReplyDeleteSeems like in the three lineups when Freeman and Sims are in the lineup together, the pace is faster (13.8 seconds per possession, in a non-weighted average), and the defensive efficiency much better. Mixed impact on offensive efficiency.
Alan, I'll run that tonight - I can just replace the 1st table with 2009 games only easily enough.
ReplyDeleteHow's the formatting look? It's a bitch to get the table to be readable with those long lineup text fields.
Looks great on my computer. Only thing that could be easier is some way to represent the lineups easier.
ReplyDeleteNow updated (both 2008-9 and 2009-10).
ReplyDelete