Saturday, November 21, 2009

Recap: Georgetown 63, Savannah St. 44

The Hoyas traveled down to Savannah today as a favor to Tigers' head coach (and former Hoya) Horace Broadnax, and came away with a 19-point victory.

The play-by-play for today's game does not include substitution data, so only estimated Net Points and no HD box score will be available.

Let's run the numbers:

.                    Georgetown                         Savannah St
            1st Half  2nd Half   Total         1st Half  2nd Half   Total
Pace           27        31        58

Eff.         124.8      93.9     108.4           73.4      77.7      75.7

eFG%          70.8      50.0      60.2           30.8      29.5      30.2
TO%           22.0      29.1      25.8           14.7      22.7      18.9
OR%           41.7      53.3      48.1           26.3      27.8      27.0
FTA/FGA       16.7      32.0      24.5           19.2      68.2      41.7
FTM/FGA       0.0       16.0      8.2            15.4      50.0      31.3

Assist Rate   57.1      75.0      65.4           42.9      33.3      38.5
Block Rate    27.8      31.3      29.4           14.3      4.5       8.3
Steal Rate    3.7       13.0      8.6            14.7      6.5       10.3

2FG%          57.1      50.0      52.8           27.8      31.3      29.4
3FG%          60.0      33.3      53.8           25.0      16.7      21.4
FT%           0.0       50.0      33.3           80.0      73.3      75.0

Attempts/Poss.
2FG           0.51      0.71      0.62           0.66      0.52      0.59
3FG           0.37      0.10      0.22           0.29      0.19      0.24
FT            0.15      0.26      0.21           0.18      0.49      0.34


After last season's 100-38 shellacking, a mere 19-point win by the Hoyas must have felt like some sort of moral victory for the Tigers.  While one's first reaction is to assume that Savannah St. must have run at a much slower pace to minimize the carnage, in fact there were only 7 less possessions this time around.

The real difference was the very high offensive efficiency last year, or perhaps better to say the disappointingly low offensive efficiency this year.  It's not clear to me if the presumed advantage to the opposition the second time they see the Princeton/Georgetown offense is real, but at least we should hope that Coach Broadnax did a much better job preparing his defense.  And we should also acknowledge that the offense this November is far behind last November's.

No, you're not seeing things, there is a red-highlighted number blinking up there at you.  For the third time this season (out of 3 games), the Hoyas turned the ball over well above 20% of the time, and much more than their opponent.  The high turnover rate was something that Alan pointed to as a figure of merit for this season, and the early returns are not promising.

On the year, the Hoyas have turned over the ball on ~25% of their possessions, while forcing their opponents to turn it over only ~18% of the time.  That is, Georgetown has four (4) less possessions with a scoring attempt per game than their opponent.  If this continues into the Big East season, that sort of differential will be a huge handicap for the Hoyas to overcome.

Georgetown also had a miserable time at the FT line today, missing on 8 of 12 chances.  If you're scoring at home ([Olbermann] "or by yourself" [/Olbermann]), Julian Vaughn is now 0/6 on the young season - Vernon Macklin redux?  Thankfully, we still have a small sample size to excuse his futility.


INDIVIDUAL NET POINTS STATS - estimate!
Georgetown            Off      %            Individ     Def             Individ                        
Player                Poss   Poss    ORtg   Pts Prod    Poss    DRtg   Pts Allow   Net Pts
Wright, Chris          46    16.7   135.2    10.4        46     85.9      7.9       +3.1    
Monroe, Greg           35    40.6    86.2    12.2        35     74.4      5.3       +4.3    
Freeman, Austin        46    16.1   128.5     9.5        46     80.4      7.4       +2.8    
Clark, Jason           55    14.2   133.8    10.5        55     74.0      8.1       +3.5    
Vaughn, Julian         32    24.1    78.3     6.0        32     80.2      5.2       +0.3    
Thompson, Hollis       30    10.7   121.9     3.9        30     67.7      4.0       +0.8    
Mescheriakov, Nikita   19    16.3    49.9     1.6        19     89.9      3.4       -1.5    
Sanford, Vee           16    23.4    74.4     2.9        16     60.8      2.0       +0.7    
Sims, Henry            16     6.2   200.0     2.1        16     71.5      2.3       +0.5    
TOTALS                 59           108.4    58.9        59     75.7     45.5      +14.7

These stats were derived from the box score rather than the play-by-play, so take them with a larger grain of salt that you normally would. 

Greg Monroe's usage rate today (41%) was silly and easily the highest of his career (previously 34% versus Cincinnati).  As we'd expect, his high usage comes at the cost of efficiency, just as happened during that Cinci game.  His five turnovers led the team, and were certainly a driver in the large number of possessions used.

My first reaction at looking at Monroe's turnover count was to chalk it up to his operating as the initiator of the offense, much like Jeff Green and his turnover rates looked each of his last two seasons (courtesy of StatSheet.com):




But Greg Monroe has the second-lowest turnover rate (22.4%) among all Hoyas after three games - only Julian Vaughn (!) is lower, at 19.7%.  Unfortunately, turnovers are pervasive up and down the roster, and are my current nominee for early-season bugaboo for Hoya fans.

Hat's off to Hollis Thompson, who, after consecutive Off. Ratings in the 40's to start his career, managed to break the 100+ barrier in his third game - admittedly while only using 10% of available possessions.  Just think what we'll do once he starts making his free throws (0/2)!

And a big "huzzah" for Jason Clark, whose 4/6 3FG shooting brings him up to 50% (9/18) on the season.  Dare I say, a long, athletic Jon Wallace?

With limited stats and no television, I guess I'll leave it there for tonight.
 

Time permitting, I'll start up the 2009-10 team and player stats pages this week.  [Edited - Stats pages now up.]




Box Score

VISITORS: Georgetown (3-0)
.                          2-PT  3-PT          REBOUNDS
## Player Name            FG-FGA FG-FGA FT-FTA OF DE TOT PF  TP  A TO BLK S MIN
04 Wright, Chris....... *  4-5    1-2    0-0    1  3  4   1  11  4  2  1  0  31
10 Monroe, Greg........ *  6-10   0-0    1-4    4  3  7   3  13  2  5  0  1  24
15 Freeman, Austin..... *  2-6    2-3    2-2    1  2  3   1  12  0  1  0  1  31
21 Clark, Jason........ *  1-3    4-6    0-0    0  6  6   3  14  2  2  0  1  37
22 Vaughn, Julian...... *  2-6    0-0    0-2    2  3  5   0   4  3  2  2  0  22
01 Thompson, Hollis....    1-1    0-1    0-2    1  3  4   1   2  3  0  3  1  20
05 Mescheriakov, Nikita    0-1    0-1    1-2    0  0  0   2   1  1  1  1  0  13
11 Sanford, Vee........    1-2    0-0    0-0    0  2  2   2   2  2  2  1  1  11
30 Sims, Henry.........    2-2    0-0    0-0    0  2  2   2   4  0  0  2  0  11
   TEAM................                         4  3  7
   Totals..............   19-36   7-13   4-12  13 27 40  15  63 17 15 10  5 200


HOME TEAM: Savannah St. (2-2)
.                          2-PT   3-PT         REBOUNDS
## Player Name            FG-FGA FG-FGA FT-FTA OF DE TOT PF  TP  A TO BLK S MIN
00 HARDY,Patrick....... *  2-2    0-3    2-3    1  1  2   3   6  3  0  0  1  24
02 RANKINS,Tracy....... *  2-6    1-4    2-2    1  2  3   0   9  0  1  0  1  34
22 HASSAN,Rashad....... *  0-6    0-0    4-4    2  2  4   1   4  0  1  2  2  29
23 SMITH,Cedric........ *  1-3    0-0    2-4    0  1  1   1   4  0  1  0  0  19
34 LOUIS,Arnold........ *  1-6    0-1    1-2    1  3  4   5   3  0  3  1  1  29
01 BLACKMON,Preston....    2-3    0-2    3-3    0  0  0   1   7  2  0  0  0  20
04 MITCHELL,Rod........    0-0    0-1    0-0    1  1  2   0   0  0  1  0  0  11
05 ANDERSON,Andrew.....    0-0    0-1    1-2    0  0  0   0   1  0  1  0  0   2
10 STOWERS,Devin.......    0-0    0-0    0-0    0  0  0   0   0  0  0  0  0   3
14 IZEVBIGIE,Glen......    0-2    0-0    0-0    1  0  1   2   0  0  2  0  0   9
54 JONES,Darnel........    0-0    0-0    0-0    0  0  0   0   0  0  0  0  0   1
55 BAUGH,Darius........    2-6    2-2    0-0    0  1  1   2  10  0  1  0  1  19
   TEAM................                         3  3  6
   Totals..............   10-34   3-14  15-20  10 14 24  15  44  5 11  3  6 200


Efficiency: Georgetown 1.068, Savannah St. 0.746
eFG%: Georgetown 0.602, Savannah St. 0.302

2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: Georgetown 1-1, Savannah St. 0-1
Layups/Tips: Georgetown 11-23, Savannah St. 6-19
Jumpers: Georgetown 7-12, Savannah St. 4-14

Fast break pts (% FG pts): Georgetown 4 (6.8), Savannah State University 4 (13.8)
Pts (eff.) after steal: Georgetown 5 (100.0), Savannah State University 8 (133.3)
Seconds per poss: Georgetown 17.4, Savannah St. 23.5

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