Sunday, February 14, 2010

Recap: Rutgers 71, Georgetown 68

I wish I could say that tonight's result was a great shock, but it actually seemed like an eventuality with an impending showdown with Syracuse looming on the horizon. At the start of the most recent Villanova recap, I asked "Will the real Georgetown basketball team please stand up?"  The answer appears to be in emphatic "NO" and it should be a roller-coaster ride on down the stretch.

Was this the worst loss of the season for the Hoyas?  Not really, the South Florida game still rates worse.

Let's run the numbers:

TEMPO-FREE BOX SCORE
 
.            Visitor                         Home      
.            Georgetown                      Rutgers         
.            1st Half  2nd Half   Total      1st Half  2nd Half   Total
Pace            31        31        62

Effic.        103.6     115.7     109.8       106.8     122.1     114.6  
 
eFG%           55.6      53.3      54.4        51.6      50.0      50.9  
TO%            29.1      16.1      22.6        16.2       9.6      12.9  
OR%            35.7      50.0      43.3        37.5      35.3      36.4  
FTA/FGA         7.4      26.7      17.5         0.0      61.5      27.6  
 
Assist Rate    69.2      25.0      44.8        66.7      63.6      65.4  
Block Rate      4.5      16.7      10.0        15.8      12.0      13.6  
Steal Rate      6.5       6.4       6.5        16.2       9.6      12.9  
 
2FG%           47.4      64.0      56.8        54.5      38.9      47.5  
3FG%           50.0       0.0      30.8        30.0      50.0      38.9  
FT%           100.0      50.0      60.0         0.0      75.0      75.0

For whatever reason, the Hoyas couldn't be bothered to play defense today in Piscataway. Rutgers came into the game averaging about 0.95 points per possession in Big East play, but managed to score at a 1.15 pt/poss clip in the game.

How did they do it?
  1. Cut down on turnovers.  Rutgers averages a 22% turnover rate in conference, but managed to commit only eight in the game.  The 12.9% TO rate for this game was their best performance of the season.
     
  2. Made their 2-pt FGs in the Lift-off half. Rutgers has shot about 47% on 2FGs this year, while Georgetown allows teams to shoot about 45%.  The Scarlet Knights made 8/15 dunk, lay-up and tip-in attempts, but also shot 4/7 on 2-pt jumpers.
     
  3. Made their 3-pt FGs in the Vesper half.  Rutgers is shooting 33% on 3FGs in Big East play, but managed to make 4/8 3FGs in the second half.  Mike Rosario was 0/6 behind the arc in the first half, but a solid 2/4 in the second.
     
  4. Mostly, they just didn't turn the ball over.

Offensively, the game was about as expected for Georgetown.  First half turnovers and poor inside shooting were offset by hot outside shooting [Hollis Thompson 2/2 3FGs], and when the 3-ball stopped dropping the 2nd half [0/5, but the last was shot under duress], the Hoyas made their 2FGs [16/25 = 15/19 on layups and tip-ins; 1/6 on 2-pt jumpers] and gathered half of their own missed shots.

An obvious sore spot was the poor FT shooting in the 2nd half:  Chris Wright missed both attempts and Austin Freeman missed the front-end of a 1-and-1.  While this surely hurt, I'd say the inability to make stops on defense was the critical failure in the game.


INDIVIDUAL NET POINTS STATS

Georgetown            Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
Vaughn, Julian         41   15.3   74.4    4.7      41   120.8    9.9      -4.1  
Monroe, Greg           61   30.6  109.5   20.4      60   109.3   13.1      +3.7  
Wright, Chris          56   21.6   52.0    6.3      56   105.3   11.8      -6.0  
Freeman, Austin        54   21.8  121.8   14.3      53   111.7   11.8      +1.9  
Clark, Jason           58   12.6  121.3    8.9      59   108.9   12.9      -1.5  
Thompson, Hollis       34   12.1  185.8    7.6      32   105.3    6.7      +2.1  
Sanford, Vee            0     -     -      0.0       1   200.0    0.4      -0.4  
Benimon, Jerrelle       9   23.0  103.5    2.1      10    39.5    0.8      +1.3  
Sims, Henry             2    0.0    -      0.0       3   136.7    0.8      -0.8  
TOTALS                 63         103.3   64.4      63   108.3   68.3      -3.5  

Rutgers               Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
MILLER, Dane           60   17.5  135.9   14.2      58   100.3   11.6      +3.2  
MITCHELL, Jonathan     52   19.2  141.4   14.1      51   103.6   10.6      +3.6  
NDIAYE, Hamady         49   24.8  111.9   13.6      47    96.4    9.1      +3.2  
ROSARIO, Mike          58   24.3   70.7    9.9      57   109.3   12.5      -4.0  
BEATTY, James          46    3.7  216.9    3.7      45   103.0    9.3      -1.8  
JOHNSON, Austin        23   21.6  125.3    6.2      24   101.2    4.9      +1.3  
JACKSON, Patrick        3   66.7    0.0    0.0       5   108.9    1.1      -1.6  
COBURN, Mike           22   15.2  117.1    3.9      24   101.0    4.8      -0.2  
OKAM, Brian             2   75.0   66.7    1.0       4   102.5    0.8      -0.2  
TOTALS                 63         110.8   66.7      63   102.5   64.6      +3.6

The old saw that Georgetown goes as Chris Wright goes is getting tired - I just wish there was a body of evidence to dispute it.  The tally to date:
Chris Wright scores 10+ points:  Georgetown 16-0
Chris Wright scores <10 points:  Georgetown 2-6
There have been games when Chris Wright didn't score, but was still able to help the team (e.g. at Marquette). This was not one of those games.  In spite of playing well on defense [3 steals, 3 def. rebounds], Chris was a severe liability on offense:  by either advanced metric [ORating = 52, Pts. Produced = 6.3] this was his worst offensive game of the year, probably most closely resembling his effort against Old Dominion.  His missed 3FGA with 0:11 left and the Hoyas trailing 66-67 was certainly defensible (he was wide open), but still caused me to yell "Oh no!" as he took the shot - I would have much preferred that he drove the lane to force the defense to react.

Greg Monroe rates quite well tonight:  he seemed to able to score against defensive stalwart Hamady N'Diaye with relative ease by using his quickness advantage, once again led the team with 6 assists and 8 rebounds [3 OR, 5 DR] and also had four blocks.  His 5 turnovers also led the team, and might hint at something that the stats package doesn't pick up on - 4 of 5 turnovers were by a Rutgers steal, which they converted into 9 points.  To be fair, only 4 of those 9 points were on a fast break (i.e. directly attributable to the steal), but this is something that I should be able to track in the future (i.e. next season).

Austin Freeman struggled from behind the arc today [1/6 3FG], his worst outside shooting effort since the ODU game.  Otherwise, he was typical Austin Freeman, grinding out points, playing smart offensive and middling defensive basketball.  Rutgers was very smart to give that foul with 0:06 left, as the shot he launched afterward was true.  Unfortunately for Georgetown, he wasn't able to get a good look at the buzzer (but still almost made it).

Jason Clark played well at both ends, although he was a bit frustrated with the officiating - taking a silly charge late in the game.  His defense in the first half on Mike Rosario was outstanding.

Julian Vaughn had a quiet and frankly poor game.  He was held to 1 off. rebound for the second straight game, and - to my eye - struggled to recover after hedging out against guards.

Hollis Thompson had a nice game on the road, and Jerrelle Benimon made a nice 3FG long 2FG when dared by the defense.


HD BOX SCORE

Georgetown vs Rutgers
2/14/10 4:00 p.m. at Piscataway, N.J. - The RAC
Final score: Rutgers 71, Georgetown 68

Georgetown              Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
Vaughn, Julian         24:47  - 4   6/45  3- 4  0- 0  0- 0  4/34  1/15  0/41  4/41  0/24  1/18  2/18   3
Monroe, Greg           38:35  + 4  19/68  7-13  1- 2  2- 3 15/56  6/21  0/60  5/61  4/38  3/29  5/34   0
Wright, Chris          36:36  - 5   6/62  2- 6  0- 2  2- 4  8/50  2/24  3/56  2/56  0/34  0/26  3/27   3
Freeman, Austin        33:37  - 5  17/54  6- 9  1- 6  2- 3 15/47  1/16  0/53  1/54  0/33  2/26  3/29   2
Clark, Jason           36:58  - 6   8/62  4- 5  0- 1  0- 0  6/51  3/23  0/59  2/58  0/37  2/27  4/31   5
Thompson, Hollis       20:32  + 5  10/39  2- 5  2- 2  0- 0  7/34  0/13  1/32  0/34  0/21  1/17  0/18   1
Sanford, Vee           00:06  - 2   0/ 0  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0   0
Benimon, Jerrelle      07:27  + 2   2/10  1- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/11  0/ 4  0/10  1/ 9  0/ 9  1/ 6  3/10   1
Sims, Henry            01:22  - 4   0/ 0  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 4  0/ 1  0/ 3   0
TOTALS                 40:00       68    25-44  4-13  6-10    57 13/29  4/63 15/63  4/40 13/30 21/33  15
.                                        0.568 0.308 0.600       0.448 0.063 0.238 0.100 0.433 0.636    

Rutgers                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
MILLER, Dane           36:35  + 9  13/70  4- 8  1- 1  2- 4  9/55  4/21  1/58  2/60  2/39  3/31  7/27   2
MITCHELL, Jonathan     32:24  - 4  24/56  5- 6  4- 6  2- 2 12/47  1/11  2/51  1/52  0/35  1/29  6/22   1
NDIAYE, Hamady         29:04  + 7  11/55  4- 8  0- 0  3- 3  8/44  0/15  2/47  2/49  4/31  5/27  2/22   3
ROSARIO, Mike          35:41  + 9  10/68  1- 6  2-10  2- 3 16/54  3/22  0/57  2/58  0/36  0/31  0/24   1
BEATTY, James          29:09  + 2   2/51  0- 0  0- 1  2- 2  1/42  4/18  2/45  0/46  0/30  0/26  0/19   0
JOHNSON, Austin        15:32  + 5   6/29  3- 5  0- 0  0- 0  5/24  2/ 9  0/24  0/23  0/18  2/12  1/13   2
JACKSON, Patrick       03:25  - 6   0/ 1  0- 3  0- 0  0- 0  3/ 3  0/ 0  0/ 5  0/ 3  0/ 5  0/ 3  1/ 3   2
COBURN, Mike           15:10  - 5   3/23  1- 3  0- 0  1- 2  3/20  3/ 8  1/24  0/22  0/22  0/11  0/17   1
OKAM, Brian            03:00  - 2   2/ 2  1- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 4  1/ 2  0/ 4  0/ 0  0/ 3   0
TOTALS                 40:00       71    19-40  7-18 12-16    58 17/26  8/63  8/63  6/44 12/33 17/30  12
.                                        0.475 0.389 0.750       0.654 0.127 0.127 0.136 0.364 0.567    

Efficiency: Rutgers 1.127, Georgetown 1.079
eFG%: Rutgers 0.509, Georgetown 0.544
Substitutions: Rutgers 20, Georgetown 18

2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: Rutgers 1-3, Georgetown 1-1
Layups/Tips: Rutgers 13-23, Georgetown 22-29
Jumpers: Rutgers 5-14, Georgetown 2-14

Fast break pts (% FG pts): Rutgers 11 (18.6), Georgetown 4 (6.5)
Pts (eff.) after steal: Rutgers 15 (187.5), Georgetown 4 (100.0)
Seconds per poss: Rutgers 18.7, Georgetown 19.3




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Stats pages will be updated tomorrow.

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