So, for the most part, the numbers will have to speak for themselves. And with that, let's run the numbers:
TEMPO-FREE BOX SCORE
. Visitor Home
. Georgetown Duke
. 1st Half 2nd Half Total 1st Half 2nd Half Total
Pace 31 34 66
Effic. 91.9 110.5 101.3 126.7 104.6 114.9
eFG% 48.2 65.2 55.9 66.7 45.2 55.2
TO% 25.3 17.4 21.2 15.8 20.3 18.1
OR% 35.3 15.4 26.7 16.7 42.1 32.3
FT Rate 10.7 65.2 35.3 14.8 29.0 22.4
Assist Rate 66.7 50.0 57.7 73.3 23.1 50.0
Block Rate 14.3 13.0 13.5 11.1 5.6 8.3
Steal Rate 9.5 14.5 12.1 6.3 17.4 12.1
2FG% 50.0 66.7 58.3 64.3 47.8 54.1
3FG% 30.0 40.0 33.3 46.2 25.0 38.1
FT% 66.7 53.3 55.6 100.0 88.9 92.3
Having perused HoyaTalk this evening, it appears that the bizarre technical (& 4th personal) foul on G. Monroe early in the second half is the story to most G'town partisans. But, since a) I didn't actually see the game and b) I write on a stat-focused blog, I'll leave that discussion to others. Instead, I'll try to take a dispassionate (clinical? sterile?) look at what the game stats tell us.
The games was played at a pace more to Georgetown's liking, especially in the 1st half, but Duke is not an exceptionally fast-paced team, so this is probably not much of the story.
What is striking to me, just from looking at the four factors from the tempo-free box, is that the underlying stats indicate a very close game, certainly closer than the ~10 point game that played out for most of the second half. G'town was a hair more accurate from the field (eFG%: 55.9 vs. 55.3) and more likely to go to the free throw line (FT Rate: 35.3 vs. 22.4), while committing a few more turnovers than the Blue Devils (TO%: 21.2 vs. 18.1) and being outrebounded (OR%: 26.7 vs. 32.3).
Moreover, and I won't bother to re-write the numbers here, the two halves appeared to be mirror images of each other, in that Georgetown shot poorly and turned the ball over while outrebounding Duke in the 1st half, while Duke shot poorly and turned the ball over while outrebounding the Hoyas in the 2nd half.
I do see two explanations for why the underlying stats belie the final score:
- The difference between eFG% for the game is so small as to be regarded as a wash, so the other factors will determine the game outcome - here Duke was significantly better at holding on to the ball and gathering their own misses, while G'town was only better at getting FTs (and remember that the four factors are ranked in order of importance).
- When the teams did get to the FT line, the Hoyas (mostly D. Summers) struggled (10/18) while the Blue Devils made theirs (12/13). Based on season average FT%, that was about a 5-6 point swing towards Duke.
INDIVIDUAL NET POINTS STATS
Georgetown Off Poss Individ Def Individ
Player Poss Used ORtg Pts Prod Poss DRtg Pts Allow Net Pts
DaJuan Summers 61 14.1 119.1 16.8 62 99.5 12.3 +4.4
Greg Monroe 48 10.2 126.3 12.9 44 93.0 8.2 +4.7
Chris Wright 36 6.1 88.1 5.3 37 130.7 9.7 -4.3
Austin Freeman 55 11.6 121.9 14.1 52 108.2 11.3 +2.9
Jessie Sapp 32 6.7 21.7 1.4 31 122.9 7.6 -6.2
Jason Clark 43 9.3 79.4 7.4 44 97.5 8.6 -1.2
Julian Vaughn 9 1.1 207.8 2.3 11 184.4 4.1 -1.8
Henry Sims 10 1.0 0.0 0.0 14 135.2 3.8 -3.8
Omar Wattad 41 5.9 77.7 4.6 40 98.4 7.9 -3.3
TOTALS 67 65.9 98.3 64.8 67 109.5 73.4 -8.5
Duke Off Poss Individ Def Individ
Player Poss Used ORtg Pts Prod Poss DRtg Pts Allow Net Pts
Kyle Singler 61 20.7 86.5 17.9 61 97.3 11.9 +6.1
David McClure 28 2.2 114.5 2.5 30 82.1 4.9 -2.4
Gerald Henderson 53 15.4 125.4 19.3 56 98.0 11.0 +8.3
Nolan Smith 53 5.3 134.7 7.2 55 103.4 11.4 -4.2
Jon Scheyer 62 9.3 140.8 13.0 63 86.5 10.9 +2.1
Greg Paulus 40 7.6 111.8 8.5 37 82.5 6.1 +2.4
Martynas Pocius 5 0.1 563.7 0.7 4 175.0 1.4 -0.7
Elliot Williams 5 0.4 200.0 0.9 4 175.0 1.4 -0.5
Miles Plumlee 15 3.4 83.2 2.8 13 65.4 1.7 +1.1
Lance Thomas 5 0.3 200.0 0.7 6 106.7 1.3 -0.6
Brian Zoubek 8 0.3 233.3 0.6 6 150.0 1.8 -1.2
TOTALS 67 65.1 113.9 74.2 67 95.1 63.7 +10.4
I'll skip and in-depth player comments tonight, since I'd prefer to have actually watched the game before making any individual judgements. Instead, just a few bullet points:
- Monroe (Player of the Game), Summers and A. Freeman all played well offensively.
- C. Wright had a poor shooting night drag his Off. Rating down.
- J. Sapp probably wishes he had stayed in bed today.
- Georgetown's bench scored as many points as Duke's today, but the Hoyas were much less efficient in doing so. In fact, Duke only had two players produce less than a point per possession today, although one (K. Singler) was their workhorse.
- Does anyone know why B. Zoubek and L. Thomas played so little today?
Finally, Georgetown's offensive & defensive efficiencies:
- When Greg Monroe was on the court: OEff = 1.19, DEff = 0.95
- When Greg Monroe was off the court: OEff = 0.53, DEff = 1.48
HD BOX SCORE
Georgetown vs Duke
01-17-09 1:36 p.m. at Durham, N.C. - Cameron Indoor Stadium
Final score: Duke 76, Georgetown 67
Georgetown Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF
DaJuan Summers 37:01 -14 21/58 5- 8 2- 4 5-10 12/47 0/16 4/62 2/61 0/31 1/29 6/25 1
Greg Monroe 28:04 +15 12/57 6- 7 0- 0 0- 0 7/37 4/17 1/44 4/48 2/24 2/17 4/25 4
Chris Wright 21:43 -14 3/31 1- 4 0- 2 1- 1 6/27 5/10 0/37 1/36 1/20 0/18 4/15 0
Austin Freeman 31:30 + 0 15/58 6-10 1- 3 0- 0 13/40 1/15 1/52 2/55 0/34 2/23 1/26 3
Jessie Sapp 19:15 -13 0/23 0- 1 0- 1 0- 1 2/23 2/ 9 0/31 3/32 0/17 1/16 1/12 2
Jason Clark 26:03 + 4 9/50 3- 4 1- 3 0- 0 7/36 2/16 1/44 3/43 0/24 0/20 3/24 4
Julian Vaughn 06:33 -15 2/ 7 0- 0 0- 0 2- 2 0/ 7 0/ 2 0/11 0/ 9 1/ 6 1/ 5 0/ 2 0
Henry Sims 06:05 -16 0/ 3 0- 1 0- 0 0- 0 1/ 6 0/ 1 0/14 0/10 1/ 6 0/ 5 0/ 4 2
Omar Wattad 23:46 + 8 5/48 0- 1 1- 2 2- 4 3/32 1/18 1/40 1/41 0/23 0/17 1/22 3
TOTALS 40:00 67 21-36 5-15 10-18 51 15/26 8/67 16/67 5/37 8/30 21/31 19
. 0.583 0.333 0.556 0.577 0.119 0.239 0.135 0.267 0.677
Duke Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF
Kyle Singler 35:18 +11 15/72 6-13 1- 6 0- 0 19/53 1/19 0/61 4/61 1/31 6/28 10/26 4
David McClure 18:20 + 4 2/31 1- 1 0- 0 0- 0 1/25 1/11 1/30 1/28 0/18 0/13 2/17 4
Gerald Henderson 33:36 + 5 23/61 7-10 3- 5 0- 0 15/49 3/13 2/56 3/53 2/31 1/27 3/26 1
Nolan Smith 31:42 - 2 9/56 2- 5 1- 1 2- 2 6/45 0/18 1/55 1/53 0/29 0/25 2/21 1
Jon Scheyer 37:38 + 9 11/69 1- 3 1- 4 6- 6 7/54 5/24 3/63 1/62 0/34 1/29 3/29 1
Greg Paulus 23:53 +13 10/48 1- 3 2- 5 2- 3 8/36 2/14 1/37 0/40 0/20 0/20 0/19 3
Martynas Pocius 02:22 + 0 0/ 7 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0/ 4 1/ 2 0/ 4 0/ 5 0/ 2 0/ 2 0/ 1 0
Elliot Williams 02:22 + 0 2/ 7 1- 1 0- 0 0- 0 1/ 4 0/ 1 0/ 4 0/ 5 0/ 2 0/ 2 0/ 1 0
Miles Plumlee 07:01 + 7 4/16 1- 1 0- 0 2- 2 1/ 9 0/ 5 0/13 2/15 0/ 6 0/ 3 0/ 6 3
Lance Thomas 03:19 - 2 0/ 4 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0/ 5 0/ 2 0/ 6 0/ 5 0/ 4 1/ 3 1/ 2 0
Brian Zoubek 04:29 + 0 0/ 9 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0/ 6 1/ 3 0/ 6 0/ 8 0/ 3 0/ 3 0/ 2 1
TOTALS 40:00 76 20-37 8-21 12-13 58 14/28 8/67 13/67 3/36 10/31 22/30 18
. 0.541 0.381 0.923 0.500 0.119 0.194 0.083 0.323 0.733
Efficiency: Duke 1.134, Georgetown 1.000
eFG%: Duke 0.552, Georgetown 0.559
Substitutions: Duke 20, Georgetown 33
2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: Duke 2-2, Georgetown 1-1
Layups/Tips: Duke 10-17, Georgetown 15-21
Jumpers: Duke 8-18, Georgetown 5-14
Fast break pts: Duke 6 (0.094), Georgetown 13 (0.228)
Seconds per off. poss: Duke 19.8, Georgetown 16.1
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