Thursday, December 29, 2011

Recap: Georgetown 71, Louisville 68

Georgetown survived a late 11-point run by the Louisville Cardinals to pull out an impressive road win against the #4-ranked team in all the land to kick off Big East conference play.

I didn't get my hands on the Hoyas stats package until late tonight (thanks as always to Mex Carey for coming through in the clutch) so you'll get only a stats dump tonight.

The briefest of summaries:
  • Hoya bench (Trawick, Hopkins) - good
  • Otto Porter - very good
  • Markel Starks - tremendous

(Edited to add some morning-after thoughts)

Having had a night to sleep on it, I'm beginning to wonder if last night's game isn't the perfect example of why Georgetown tends to struggle to live up to early season expectations.  The Hoyas were unconscious from behind the arc in the second half, and now delusion is running rampant.

The important stats to consider from last night were:
  • Turnovers.  The Cardinals win by turning over their opponent - it fueled their late-game comeback.  Indeed, of Georgetown's 16 turnovers, 13 were by Louisville steals, i.e. live-ball turnovers.  The Hoyas entered last night's game having turned the ball over 17.3% of possessions, good for 25th nationally.  That trend was out of character for JT3-coached teams, who tend to be far too sloppy with the ball.  Last night's game may indicate that the team is regressing towards the mean now that the level of competition has improved.
  • Outside shooting.  There are few better ways to punish an opponent than to make a high percentage of 3FGs.  The Cardinals are a great defensive team against inside shots [def 2FG% = 37.9%, 4th], but just mediocre against shots behind the arc [def 3FG% = 35.5%, 223rd].  The Princeton-variant offense that the Hoyas use is very good at generating open looks from deep, and Markel Starks and Hollis Thompson certainly took advantage.  But the Hoyas aren't going to shoot 64% from deep in most games, no matter how open they are.
  • Defense. The Hoyas starters yesterday struggled a bit with the Cards version of the dribble-drive offense.  Nate Lubick especially ended with a poor defensive rating in limited minutes, but all the starters were at or above a defensive rating of 100 for the game.  But here, the Hoyas real strength this season came to the fore - the massive length that Coach Thompson can roll out from his bench.  Porter, Trawick, Whittington and Hopkins all got serious burn last night in their first conference road game, and all rated better than the starters defensively.  And that may be the key to the Hoyas' season:  for the first time since 2008, Coach Thompson may have - and trust - his bench.

Let's run the numbers:

TEMPO-FREE BOX SCORE
 
.            Visitor                         Home      
.            Georgetown                      LOUISVILLE         
.            1st Half  2nd Half   Total      1st Half  2nd Half   Total
Pace            33        33        66

Points          32        39        71          35        33        68   

Effic.         97.7     118.4     108.1       106.9     100.2     103.5  
 
eFG%           47.8      62.0      55.2        51.7      45.2      48.3  
TO%            27.5      21.2      24.4        15.3      12.1      13.7  
OR%            40.0      28.6      34.5        31.6      31.8      31.7  
FTA/FGA        56.5      44.0      50.0        31.0      25.8      28.3  
 
Assist Rate    50.0      46.2      47.8        61.5      58.3      60.0  
Block Rate      0.0      10.0       5.6        16.7      10.5      13.5  
Steal Rate      9.2       3.0       6.1        21.4      18.2      19.8  
 
2FG%           44.4      42.1      43.2        56.2      40.0      47.2  
3FG%           40.0      83.3      63.6        30.8      36.4      33.3  
FT%            76.9      72.7      75.0        55.6      62.5      58.8




INDIVIDUAL NET POINTS STATS

Georgetown            Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
THOMPSON, Hollis       51   19.8  100.7   10.2      51    99.8   10.2      +0.1  
LUBICK, Nate           18   17.7   75.7    2.4      18   142.7    5.1      -2.4  
SIMS, Henry            44   29.5   73.7    9.6      46   106.7    9.8      -2.3  
STARKS, Markel         46   25.2  162.6   18.9      47   103.1    9.7      +8.0  
CLARK, Jason           51   16.1   91.1    7.5      51   107.5   11.0      -2.4  
WHITTINGTON, Greg      16    1.6  228.6    0.6      19    73.2    2.8      -0.9  
HOPKINS, Mikael        12   18.6  115.5    2.6      11    53.1    1.2      +1.4  
PORTER, Otto           51   26.4  113.3   15.2      53    75.5    8.0      +6.2  
TRAWICK, Jabril        31   15.9  182.4    9.0      34    99.5    6.8      +3.2  
TOTALS                 64         113.3   76.0      66    97.7   64.5     +10.9  

LOUISVILLE            Off     %           Pts      Def           Pts   
Player                Poss  Poss  O.Rtg   Prod     Poss  D.Rtg  Allow    Net Pts
KURIC, Kyle            66   16.7  148.0   16.3      64   113.5   14.5      +2.8  
BEHANAN, Chane         53   15.3  103.5    8.4      49    86.0    8.4      +0.7  
DIENG, Gorgui          42   25.0   99.2   10.4      42    93.1    7.8      +1.6  
SIVA, Peyton           61   21.5  120.8   15.8      59    89.1   10.5      +4.7  
SMITH, Chris           39   12.1  122.5    5.8      36   129.4    9.3      -1.9  
SMITH, Russ            40   36.9   89.9   13.3      39    96.9    7.6      +2.3  
BUCKLES, Rakeem        24   17.9   62.2    2.7      25   155.2    7.8      -4.5  
SWOPSHIRE, Jared        4   44.3   43.5    0.8       5   110.0    1.1      -0.8  
WARE, Kevin             1    0.0    -      0.0       1   200.0    0.4      -0.4  
TOTALS                 66         107.6   73.4      64   105.4   67.4      +3.7 


HD BOX SCORE

Georgetown vs LOUISVILLE
12/28/11 7:02PM at KFC Yum! Center, LOUISVILLE, KY
Final score: Georgetown 71, LOUISVILLE 68

Georgetown              Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
THOMPSON, Hollis       31:08  - 1  10/54  2- 8  2- 2  0- 0 10/38  1/14  1/51  4/51  0/29  1/22  4/27   1
LUBICK, Nate           12:21  - 4   2/21  1- 1  0- 1  0- 0  2/14  1/ 7  0/18  1/18  0/10  0/ 7  0/10   3
SIMS, Henry            25:56  - 3   7/46  2- 8  0- 0  3- 4  8/30  4/13  0/46  3/44  0/25  0/17  3/28   3
STARKS, Markel         28:47  + 7  20/54  3- 4  4- 4  2- 2  8/33  0/12  0/47  3/46  0/23  1/16  2/32   1
CLARK, Jason           29:31  - 4   7/50  2- 7  0- 1  3- 5  8/34  1/13  0/51  1/51  2/28  1/23  4/31   3
WHITTINGTON, Greg      11:20  + 7   0/24  0- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/14  1/ 7  1/19  0/16  0/11  0/ 9  2/16   2
HOPKINS, Mikael        07:33  + 5   2/11  0- 2  0- 0  2- 2  2/10  1/ 3  0/11  0/12  0/ 6  1/ 8  1/ 9   0
PORTER, Otto           31:42  + 5  14/57  5- 5  0- 1  4- 6  6/38  1/13  2/53  4/51  0/27  3/24 11/33   1
TRAWICK, Jabril        21:42  + 3   9/38  1- 1  1- 2  4- 5  3/29  1/10  0/34  0/31  0/21  1/19  1/19   4
TOTALS                 40:00       71    16-37  7-11 18-24    48 11/23  4/66 16/64  2/36 10/29 28/41  18
.                                        0.432 0.636 0.750       0.478 0.061 0.250 0.056 0.345 0.683    

LOUISVILLE              Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF
KURIC, Kyle            40:00  - 3  17/68  0- 1  5-12  2- 2 13/60  1/20  1/64  0/66  1/37  2/41  2/29   3
BEHANAN, Chane         32:04  +15   8/64  4- 7  0- 1  0- 0  8/54  0/20  3/49  1/53  1/31  3/33  5/24   1
DIENG, Gorgui          26:12  - 1   7/43  3- 8  0- 0  1- 3  8/34  3/12  2/42  1/42  2/25  3/24  5/18   5
SIVA, Peyton           35:36  + 3  15/63  5- 9  0- 1  5- 6 10/54  6/18  5/59  2/61  1/33  0/37  3/28   2
SMITH, Chris           23:11  + 3   4/46  0- 2  1- 3  1- 3  5/38  3/16  0/36  0/39  0/18  1/25  0/13   2
SMITH, Russ            24:09  - 4  14/40  4- 6  2- 7  0- 0 13/36  2/ 9  2/39  3/40  0/25  1/23  2/22   4
BUCKLES, Rakeem        15:18  -22   2/15  1- 3  0- 0  0- 1  3/21  0/ 5  0/25  1/24  0/13  2/18  1/ 9   2
SWOPSHIRE, Jared       02:50  - 4   1/ 1  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 2  0/ 0  0/ 5  1/ 4  0/ 3  0/ 3  0/ 2   1
WARE, Kevin            00:40  - 2   0/ 0  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 0   0
TOTALS                 40:00       68    17-36  8-24 10-17    60 15/25 13/64  9/66  5/37 13/41 19/29  20
.                                        0.472 0.333 0.588       0.600 0.203 0.136 0.135 0.317 0.655    

Efficiency: Georgetown 1.109, LOUISVILLE 1.030
eFG%: Georgetown 0.552, LOUISVILLE 0.483
Substitutions: Georgetown 30, LOUISVILLE 26

2-pt Shot Selection:
Dunks: Georgetown 1-2, LOUISVILLE 5-5
Layups/Tips: Georgetown 7-14, LOUISVILLE 9-19
Jumpers: Georgetown 8-21, LOUISVILLE 3-12

Fast break pts (% FG pts): Georgetown 0 (0.0), LOUISVILLE 4 (6.9)
Pts (eff.) after steal: Georgetown 6 (150.0), LOUISVILLE 13 (100.0)
Seconds per poss: Georgetown 17.8, LOUISVILLE 19.0

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