Cincinnati is the biggest beneficiary of the action thus far, with their odds up 4.1%. Still, the top four seeds are the four likeliest to win, and their odds are mostly unchanged. Note that this calculation, unlike the one done by Basketball Prospectus does not give St. John's any home court advantage; perhaps it should.
Editor's note: These are the percentage probabilities a team will make it to that round, based on KenPom ratings through Tuesday's games (ratings through Wednesday were unavailable at of 9:30 AM CT).Seed Team 2nd Rnd Quarters Semis Finals Champ Orig 9 UConn 100 100 26.5 10.6 4.5 2.1 16 DePaul out out out out out 0.00002 8 G'town - out out out out 2.4 1 Pitt - - 73.5 47.3 31.7 31.7 12 SHU out out out out out 0.3 13 Rutgers 100 out out out out 0.03 5 St.J's - 100 32.4 10.0 4.1 2.7 4 Cuse - - 67.6 32.1 18.9 19.8 10 Nova out out out out out 2.3 15 USF 100 out out out out 0.001 7 Cinci - 100 47.6 24.8 10.1 6.0 2 N.Dame - - 52.4 28.6 12.3 12.6 11 Marq 100 100 36.4 13.8 4.3 1.4 14 Provy out out out out out 0.01 6 WVU - out out out out 5.2 3 L'ville - - 63.6 32.8 14.3 13.5
"100" means that team did advance to the round, a "-" means the team had a bye to that round.
I wouldn't sweat a home court advantage for the Johnnies today versus Syracuse - should probably be a fairly even split.
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