tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8609450545815012880.post8223741082300945706..comments2023-10-26T02:21:09.121-06:00Comments on Hoya Prospectus: Individual Offensive & Defensive Ratings - 2007-8 ReviewBrian Lernerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00844052204506883915noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8609450545815012880.post-9911487245252728982008-10-22T12:18:00.000-06:002008-10-22T12:18:00.000-06:00Hi Henry,First, thanks for reading all of that and...Hi Henry,<BR/><BR/>First, thanks for reading all of that and the kind words - it's an awfully long article to get through if you really don't care about the team.<BR/><BR/>I <B><I>don't</I></B> think that I'm really nailing uage here, since everything is still on a per-possession basis. Only the last scatter plot attempts to indicate true value by indicating possessions played (but not poss. used). Sure, players who dominate possession usage will drive their net offensive efficiency more than passive players, but I'm not convinced that my approach really gets to the heart of the matter. <I>-Shrugs-</I> I'll have to think about it some more, I guess.<BR/><BR/>If things go off as planned this season (including my wife not divorcing me on abandonment grounds), I should be able to provide +/- stats for all BE games, so you'll be able to waste lots of time looking at things like this yourself.Brian Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00844052204506883915noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8609450545815012880.post-12770019216477758062008-10-22T07:56:00.000-06:002008-10-22T07:56:00.000-06:00Really well done and very thorough.I like your ide...Really well done and very thorough.<BR/><BR/>I like your idea of Net Offensive and Net Defensive Efficiency. I've tried to mess around with similar concepts, but since I'm not smart enough to generate +/- data, I kind of gave up. Certainly, the question it gets at is "what is the player's impact as it relates to the overall offense?". In my mind, it sort of addresses a player that is offensively efficient and one that is a net positive contributor. Or said another way, it accounts for players that are efficient with high usage too. Do I have that right?<BR/><BR/>I don't think your logic explaining over-rated vs. under-rated stretches the statistics /that/ much. It seems to make perfect sense to me.<BR/><BR/>Your argument that Net Defensive Efficiency is a better measure than Defensive Rating is an interesting one. Again, your logic is sound but it is hard to confirm or disconfirm without being able to replicate the +/-.<BR/><BR/>The work you put together on Off Worth vs. Defensive Worth is gold. It's really great stuff.Rob Lowehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10470103073724971955noreply@blogger.com